Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.455894 13.116950 14.948854 17.121430 19.630926 22.442314 25.836012
2025-10-05 9.453267 11.667589 14.308972 17.701335 21.956382 27.134808 33.942353
2025-10-12 8.244424 10.733554 13.873769 18.144814 23.831867 31.184618 41.477676
2025-10-19 7.463884 10.152352 13.703951 18.769374 25.858204 35.499471 49.730971
2025-10-26 6.499975 9.172523 12.842731 18.291947 26.247456 37.546118 55.001755
2025-11-02 5.797907 8.454563 12.231601 18.045375 26.863027 39.886527 60.858741
2025-11-09 5.231085 7.858127 11.712458 17.843538 27.472687 42.216028 66.884159
2025-11-16 4.743062 7.321643 11.215701 17.600458 27.956728 44.351763 72.779387
2025-11-23 4.300452 6.807003 10.694501 17.249817 28.206184 46.099562 78.178265
2025-11-30 4.149108 6.733925 10.851036 17.991648 30.291592 51.020366 89.460965
2025-12-07 3.919295 6.509067 10.736527 18.261640 31.591215 54.721003 98.990019
2025-12-14 3.657842 6.206192 10.462103 18.223935 32.337146 57.507444 107.136325
2025-12-21 3.385034 5.864376 10.098389 18.005978 32.758241 59.788226 114.673575
2025-12-28 3.271974 5.791110 10.192760 18.617195 34.756232 65.165926 128.829983
2026-01-04 3.145947 5.682303 10.211588 19.085011 36.520763 70.266422 143.021916
2026-01-11 3.056334 5.631190 10.328316 19.743901 38.712663 76.409967 160.086612
2026-01-18 2.820104 5.286185 9.868910 19.240225 38.535442 77.779382 167.143139
2026-01-25 2.636130 5.025776 9.548182 18.980113 38.823280 80.119178 176.576868
2026-02-01 2.473803 4.794354 9.264352 18.767200 39.183812 82.636615 186.691111
2026-02-08 2.320266 4.568258 8.972764 18.510792 39.422860 84.906855 196.490365
2026-02-15 2.167330 4.331696 8.641660 18.140944 39.376344 86.535435 204.950107
2026-02-22 2.142244 4.354156 8.839599 18.923437 41.963847 94.348306 229.391971
2026-03-01 2.069476 4.271603 8.812342 19.208253 43.445384 99.760725 248.523636